SimpleFunctions

Marie Bouzkova to win the Andreeva vs Bouzkova

Marie Bouzkova is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU.

Price history

15¢ current

+7¢
10¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Marie Bouzkova wins the Andreeva vs Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Marie Bouzkova

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Mirra Andreeva 85¢

Range

14¢-85¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU-BOU

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

15¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 15¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
14¢11K
13¢4.9K
12¢4.2K
11¢4.0K
10¢5.0K
AskSize
15¢11K
16¢1.6K
17¢7.0K
18¢2.7K
19¢400

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Marie Bouzkova wins the Andreeva vs Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU-BOU

SF Signal
SF Index
7723.54
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Mirra Andreeva 85¢

Current share

59%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15447.1%
409.4%
Adj IY
7724%
6

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.