SimpleFunctions

Mirra Andreeva to win the Andreeva vs Bouzkova

Mirra Andreeva is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU.

Price history

87¢ current

+39¢
50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Mirra Andreeva wins the Andreeva vs Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Mirra Andreeva

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Mirra Andreeva 85¢

Range

13¢-85¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU-AND

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

87¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

87¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 87¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
85¢1.6K
84¢1.9K
83¢15K
82¢12K
81¢5.0K
AskSize
87¢13K
88¢13K
89¢14K
90¢7.5K
91¢5.6K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mirra Andreeva wins the Andreeva vs Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU-AND

SF Signal
SF Index
14188.05
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY29ANDBOU.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Mirra Andreeva 85¢

Current share

38%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

441.8%

IY (No)

14188.0%

Adj IY

14188%

CRI

6

RV

1883%

VR

5.56

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

441.8%
14188.0%
Adj IY
14188%
6
RV
1883%
VR
5.56
IAR
1.3/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.