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Will Marta Kostyuk win set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic match: Marta Kostyuk · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2

Will Marta Kostyuk win set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic match: Marta Kostyuk is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2.

Price history

74¢ current

+64¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Marta Kostyuk wins set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Marta Kostyuk win set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic match: Marta Kostyuk

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Will Marta Kostyuk win set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic match: Marta Kostyuk 75¢

Range

4¢-75¢

Family volume

$134

Identifier

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2-KOS

May 28, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

14¢

24h volume

$99

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$134

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 89¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
75¢800
70¢20
69¢1
50¢25
21¢2
AskSize
89¢9
90¢800
91¢100
92¢92
96¢14

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Marta Kostyuk wins set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2-KOS

SF Signal
SF Index
7322.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY29KOSGOL-2.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$134

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Will Marta Kostyuk win set 2 in the Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic match: Marta Kostyuk 75¢

Current share

74%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

813.7%

IY (No)

7322.9%

Adj IY

7323%

CRI

3

RV

2853%

VR

5.31

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

813.7%
7322.9%
Adj IY
7323%
3
RV
2853%
VR
5.31
IAR
1.8/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.