Before Oct 1, 2026 · Will Max Clark play in a game for any team in the MLB before
Before Oct 1, 2026 is priced at 54¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 31¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Max Clark play in a game for any team in the MLB before.
Price history
54¢ current
+52¢Contract brief
If Max Clark plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Oct 1, 2026
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
Before Nov 1, 2027 84¢
Range
11¢-84¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26OCT01
May 27, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
31¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Max Clark play in a game for any team in the MLB before
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Max Clark plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26OCT01
Event family
Will Max Clark play in a game for any team in the MLB before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Before Nov 1, 2027 84¢
Current share
—
Before Nov 1, 2027
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-27NOV01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26AUG01
Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-27MAY01
Before Jul 13, 2026
kalshi · KXMLBDEBUT-MCLAR-26JUL13
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.