SimpleFunctions
KalshiApr 1, 20301423 days left

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2029 F1 season?

This contract is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

58¢
$171 volume
$68 liquidity
60% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$287

Best sibling

Before the 2027 season 14¢

Ticker

KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2029

Market snapshot

Before the 2029 season in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2029 F1 season?. The displayed quote is 58¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $44. In the Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 20 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Before the 2029 season

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

58¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Apr 1, 2030

24h volume

$44

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 20

Quote range

14¢-67¢

Family leader

Before the 2030 season 67¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2029. Family volume: $287.

Price history

58¢ current

20¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 65¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
59¢5
58¢100
57¢200
14¢56
13¢737
AskSize
65¢5
66¢100
68¢200
74¢2
89¢32

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2029 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 1, 2030

Identifier

KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2029

Event family

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 20.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$287

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before the 2030 season 67¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

17.8%

IY (No)

36.9%

Adj IY

18%

CRI

1

Overround

0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

17.8%
36.9%
Adj IY
18%
1
Overround
0.9%

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