MercadoLibre Inc. report above 800 million items sold in Q2 2026
above 800 million is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will MercadoLibre Inc. report above.
Price history
50¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If MercadoLibre Inc. reports above 800000000 items sold in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
above 800 million
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
above 740 million 94¢
Range
12¢-94¢
Family volume
$65
Identifier
KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P800000000
May 28, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will MercadoLibre Inc. report above
Closes
Sep 2, 2026
Family volume
$65
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If MercadoLibre Inc. reports above 800000000 items sold in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 2, 2026
Identifier
KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P800000000
Event family
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$65
Outcomes
6
Highest price
above 740 million 94¢
Current share
0%
above 740 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P740000000
above 760 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P760000000
above 780 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P780000000
above 800 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P800000000
above 820 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P820000000
above 840 million
kalshi · KXMELI-26AUGITEMS-P840000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.