SimpleFunctions

Will MIBR win the Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match

Will MIBR win the Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

38¢ current

3¢
40¢50¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If MIBR wins the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier 2026: Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will MIBR win the Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXVALORANTGAME-26MAY282000LEVMIBR-MIBR

May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 31m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 31m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 38¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
37¢221
36¢1.0K
35¢44
34¢1.0K
32¢1.0K
AskSize
38¢16K
39¢8.4K
40¢1.0K
41¢33
43¢37

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If MIBR wins the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier 2026: Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXVALORANTGAME-26MAY282000LEVMIBR-MIBR

SF Signal
SF Index
4239.09
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will MIBR win the Leviatán Esports vs. MIBR Valorant match 38¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4356.7%

IY (No)

1502.7%

Adj IY

4239%

CRI

2

RV

2892%

VR

4.87

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4356.7%
1502.7%
Adj IY
4239%
2
RV
2892%
VR
4.87
IAR
1.7/h
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.