SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 2, 2027358 days left

Will Michigan qualify for the men's Semifinals?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 37¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$8 volume
$4 liquidity
81% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

Tennessee 1¢

Ticker

KXMARMADROUND-27F4-MICH

Market snapshot

Michigan in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Michigan qualify for the men's Semifinals?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $8. In the KXMARMADROUND-27F4 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Michigan

Family rank

#4 of 14

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 2, 2027

Reported volume

$8

Family context

14 outcomes · KXMARMADROUND-27F4

Quote range

1¢-17¢

Family leader

Florida 17¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXMARMADROUND-27F4-MICH. Family volume: $10.

Price history

11¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 48¢

Kalshi
37¢ spread
BidSize
100¢52
11¢1
10¢25
3¢1.3K
2¢2.1K
AskSize
48¢5
49¢300
54¢15
56¢800
73¢15

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Michigan qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Semifinals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 2, 2027

Identifier

KXMARMADROUND-27F4-MICH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

824.5%

IY (No)

12.6%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.3%

LAS

3.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

824.5%
12.6%
Adj IY
0%
8
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
3.36

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