SimpleFunctions

Minnesota · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN

Minnesota is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN.

Price history

50¢ current

+25¢
25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Minnesota wins the Green Bay vs Minnesota professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Minnesota

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Green Bay 51¢

Range

49¢-51¢

Family volume

$87

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN-MIN

May 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

11¢

24h volume

$80

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$87

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 59¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
48¢4
47¢1
46¢35
45¢188
44¢290
AskSize
59¢988
60¢57
61¢265
72¢35
76¢166

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Minnesota wins the Green Bay vs Minnesota professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
332.24
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13GBMIN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$87

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Green Bay 51¢

Current share

92%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

332.2%

IY (No)

306.7%

Adj IY

332%

CRI

1

RV

240%

VR

1.28

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

332.2%
306.7%
Adj IY
332%
1
RV
240%
VR
1.28
IAR
1.0/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.