Will Moldova be Top 10?
This contract is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$15K
Best sibling
Denmark 85¢
Ticker
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-MOL
Market snapshot
Moldova in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Moldova be Top 10?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10 family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Moldova
Family rank
#9 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
36¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 17, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10
Quote range
4¢-97¢
Family leader
Finland 97¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-MOL. Family volume: $15K.
Price history
36¢ current
+13¢Orderbook snapshot
35 / 36¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Moldova finishes Top 10 at the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 17, 2026
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-MOL
Event family
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Finland 97¢
Current share
18%
Moldova
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-MOL
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-DEN
Romania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-ROM
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-FIN
Albania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-ALB
Italy
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-ITA
Latvia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-LAT
Croatia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-CRO
Malta
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-MAL
Greece
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
Cyprus
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-CYP
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-AUS
Bulgaria
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-BUL
Serbia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-SER
Sweden
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-SWE
Israel
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-ISR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 36% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.