Will Moldova be Top 3?
This contract is priced at 4¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
14
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
Greece 60¢
Ticker
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-MOL
Market snapshot
Moldova in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Moldova be Top 3?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3 family, this outcome ranks #10 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Moldova
Family rank
#10 of 14
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until May 17, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
14 outcomes · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3
Quote range
1¢-72¢
Family leader
Finland 72¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-MOL. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
4¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Moldova finishes Top 3 at the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 17, 2026
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-MOL
Event family
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Finland 72¢
Current share
0%
Moldova
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-MOL
Greece
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-GRE
France
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-FRA
Sweden
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-SWE
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-AUS
Israel
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-ISR
Belgium
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-BEL
Romania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-ROM
Croatia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-CRO
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-DEN
Estonia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-EST
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-FIN
Italy
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-ITA
Ukraine
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP3-UKR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 4% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.