SimpleFunctions

Moon win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 between Nesco, Moon and Latin

Moon is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI.

Price history

36¢ current

+31¢
0¢25¢
May 22, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Moon wins the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Moon

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Latin 29¢

Range

28¢-29¢

Family volume

$65

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI-MOON

May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

24h volume

$12

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$65

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 36¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
28¢150
27¢300
12¢119
11¢135
10¢137
AskSize
36¢211
37¢150
39¢300
49¢41
50¢172

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Moon wins the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI-MOON

SF Signal
SF Index
2303.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$65

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Latin 29¢

Current share

18%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4607.8%

IY (No)

696.9%

Adj IY

2304%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4607.8%
696.9%
Adj IY
2304%
3
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.