SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027234 days left

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

37¢
$1K volume
$147 liquidity

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Ticker

KXDONATEMRBEAST-27JAN-MRB

Market snapshot

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

37¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXDONATEMRBEAST-27JAN-MRB. Family volume: .

Price history

37¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 45¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
36¢400
11¢49
7¢811
3¢800
2¢12K
AskSize
45¢400
89¢1.1K
91¢48
97¢742
98¢12K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls announces they will donate or donates to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs, ECU-affiliated NIL collectives, NIL athlete pools designated for East Carolina University student-athletes, and university-recognized NIL entities tied to East Carolina University, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXDONATEMRBEAST-27JAN-MRB

SF Signal
SF Index
103.80
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXDONATEMRBEAST-27JAN.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls 36¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

276.8%
87.6%
Adj IY
104%
2
LAS
0.25

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.