129 billion · Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30
129 billion is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 93¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30?.
Price history
95¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Outcome
129 billion
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
126 billion 100¢
Range
95¢-100¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
0x518301a4...5d31
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$72
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x518301a4…5d31
Event family
Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
126 billion 100¢
Current share
61%
126 billion
polymarket · 0xada697d0caa3d6b29470b56bab3d35b902df2bf06db744760f6131c211b97c45
127 billion
polymarket · 0x689a24ea74bae5e84c3d3be87856c4ca399b7af5de2563a50c8a6681eca754bd
128 billion
polymarket · 0x6f51fc8a277dd2aeea8368dc927d46015e2868865c1e9fa10d844a0ebbfd6820
129 billion
polymarket · 0x518301a471c1e86c7b11d8eea58be6936f57c6a7d5f8b7f0fbefa6c87f145d31
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.