Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026?
This contract is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXMICHELINNYC3-26
Market snapshot
Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026?. The displayed quote is 39¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
39¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 6, 2027
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXMICHELINNYC3-26. Family volume: —.
Price history
39¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
36 / 44¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If New York City has a new 3 star Michelin restaurant added in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 6, 2027
Identifier
KXMICHELINNYC3-26
Event family
KXMICHELINNYC3-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026 36¢
Current share
—
Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026
kalshi · KXMICHELINNYC3-26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.386
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 39% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.