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KalshiJun 1, 202623 days left

Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

97¢
$320K volume
$116K liquidity
35251% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$908

Best sibling

Delcy Rodríguez 3¢

Ticker

KXVENEZUELALEADER2-26JUN01-NMAD

Market snapshot

Nicolás Maduro in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 97¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $118. In the KXVENEZUELALEADER2-26JUN01 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Nicolás Maduro

Family rank

#1 of 12

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

97¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$118

Family context

12 outcomes · KXVENEZUELALEADER2-26JUN01

Quote range

1¢-92¢

Family leader

Nicolás Maduro 92¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXVENEZUELALEADER2-26JUN01-NMAD. Family volume: $908.

Price history

97¢ current

+78¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 96¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
92¢500
92¢2.0K
92¢1.0K
92¢61
87¢50
AskSize
96¢500
96¢988
96¢500
97¢500
97¢29

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If only Nicolás Maduro officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXVENEZUELALEADER2-26JUN01-NMAD

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

135.8%

IY (No)

17962.6%

Adj IY

8591%

CRI

12

Overround

0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

135.8%
17962.6%
Adj IY
8591%
12
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.04

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