What is the current probability for "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 7¢ (7% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026. 57 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 8449.7% and 47.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

7¢

$10K volume

$14K liquidity

100% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$10K

Best sibling

—

Ticker

0x2fd0c0a6…94e5

Price history

7¢ current

−5¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 8¢

Polymarket

3¢ spread

BidSize

100¢3.6K

5¢70

4¢121

3¢109

2¢1.4K

AskSize

8¢3

9¢60

10¢200

11¢677

12¢520

13¢250

14¢10

15¢212

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x2fd0c0a6…94e5

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

Highest price