Will North Carolina St. qualify for the College Baseball World Series?
Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will North Carolina St. qualify for the College Baseball World Series?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Kalshi, closing June 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93¢ spread, indicating virtually no trading activity or price discovery.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 93¢ spread, indicating virtually no trading activity or price discovery. The 0¢ bid price yields an implausible 17,402% implied return on the Yes side, a mathematical artifact of near-zero liquidity rather than genuine market sentiment. With 68 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, this contract is essentially non-functional for trading purposes and should be avoided until meaningful liquidity emerges.
Resolution rules
If North Carolina St. qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-NCST yes 100