North Carolina St · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA
North Carolina St. is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA.
Price history
49¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If North Carolina St. wins the North Carolina St. vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
North Carolina St.
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Virginia 51¢
Range
38¢-51¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA-NCST
May 26, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$1
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If North Carolina St. wins the North Carolina St. vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA-NCST
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29NCSTUVA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Virginia 51¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.