SimpleFunctions

Novak Djokovic to win the Fonseca vs Djokovic

Novak Djokovic is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO.

Price history

67¢ current

+27¢
50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Novak Djokovic wins the Fonseca vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Novak Djokovic

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Novak Djokovic 66¢

Range

33¢-66¢

Family volume

$98K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-DJO

May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

24h volume

$61K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$98K

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 67¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
66¢1.3K
65¢21K
64¢16K
63¢1.5K
62¢6.3K
AskSize
67¢30K
68¢40K
69¢2.7K
70¢2.7K
71¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Novak Djokovic wins the Fonseca vs Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO-DJO

SF Signal
SF Index
4793.29
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29FONDJO.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$98K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Novak Djokovic 66¢

Current share

61%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1291.7%

IY (No)

4867.3%

Adj IY

4793%

CRI

2

RV

1872%

VR

3.39

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1291.7%
4867.3%
Adj IY
4793%
2
RV
1872%
VR
3.39
IAR
1.2/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.