SimpleFunctions

Nuno Borges to win the Borges vs Kecmanovic

Nuno Borges is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC.

Price history

39¢ current

+3¢
40¢
May 24, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nuno Borges

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Miomir Kecmanovic 61¢

Range

38¢-61¢

Family volume

$6K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC-BOR

May 26, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

38¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Family volume

$6K

Orderbook snapshot

38 / 39¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
38¢2.3K
37¢10K
36¢12K
35¢6.1K
34¢6.1K
AskSize
39¢1.1K
40¢23K
41¢19K
42¢8.0K
43¢9.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC-BOR

SF Signal
SF Index
4108.78
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$6K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Miomir Kecmanovic 61¢

Current share

41%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4108.8%

IY (No)

1543.5%

Adj IY

4109%

CRI

2

RV

217%

VR

0.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4108.8%
1543.5%
Adj IY
4109%
2
RV
217%
VR
0.35
IAR
0.3/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.