SimpleFunctions

Miomir Kecmanovic to win the Borges vs Kecmanovic

Miomir Kecmanovic is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC.

Price history

61¢ current

+7¢
50¢60¢
May 24, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Miomir Kecmanovic wins the Borges vs Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Miomir Kecmanovic 60¢

Range

36¢-60¢

Family volume

$9K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC-KEC

May 25, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$9K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Family volume

$9K

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
60¢11K
59¢10.0K
58¢169
54¢21
47¢160
AskSize
61¢2.0K
63¢330
64¢2.7K
65¢11K
66¢1.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miomir Kecmanovic wins the Borges vs Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 10, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC-KEC

SF Signal
SF Index
3423.16
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY27BORKEC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Miomir Kecmanovic 60¢

Current share

98%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1521.4%

IY (No)

3423.2%

Adj IY

3423%

CRI

2

RV

690%

VR

1.61

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1521.4%
3423.2%
Adj IY
3423%
2
RV
690%
VR
1.61
IAR
0.8/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.