Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
This contract is priced at 48¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 47¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$2
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0xe9715256…5c8b
Market snapshot
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
48¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$2
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0xe97152561097edb4ab240c4658342d32ed8750dc18ed2eabc27ee06ce6ae5c8b. Family volume: $2.
Price history
48¢ current
+21¢Orderbook snapshot
47 / 49¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar. A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar. Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xe9715256…5c8b
Event family
Related outcomes.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026 48¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
scientific
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