SimpleFunctions

Orzel Barczaca Esports · KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE

Orzel Barczaca Esports is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 73¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE.

Price history

50¢ current

+37¢
25¢50¢
May 23, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Orzel Barczaca Esports wins the Rift Legends 2026: Forsaken vs. Orzel Barczaca Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Orzel Barczaca Esports

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Orzel Barczaca Esports 13¢

Range

13¢-13¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE-BCE

May 24, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

73¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 86¢

Kalshi
73¢ spread
BidSize
13¢50
12¢100
11¢87
10¢100
3¢100
AskSize
86¢50
87¢97
88¢100
90¢100
96¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Orzel Barczaca Esports wins the Rift Legends 2026: Forsaken vs. Orzel Barczaca Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Identifier

KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE-BCE

SF Signal
SF Index
15576.41
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXLOLGAME-26MAY261100FSKBCE.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Orzel Barczaca Esports 13¢

Current share

Browse this series

League of Legends Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXLOLGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

15576.4%

IY (No)

347.8%

Adj IY

15576%

CRI

7

RV

896%

VR

0.71

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15576.4%
347.8%
Adj IY
15576%
7
RV
896%
VR
0.71
IAR
1.1/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.