Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $138 end of April?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 32¢ spread despite only 11 days to expiry, suggesting the 74¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical 8293.5% implied yield on the "No" side is a red flag indicating the market is severely mispriced or illiquid rather than reflecting genuine conviction that PLTR will stay below $138. With realized volatility at 304% and a recent 5¢ price decline over 7 days, the $436.1 open interest is too thin to generate reliable price discovery this close to resolution.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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