Paraguay · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D
Paraguay is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D.
Price history
62¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Paraguay is one of the teams to qualify from Group D for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Paraguay
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
USA 79¢
Range
43¢-79¢
Family volume
$56
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D-PAR
May 26, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$852
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$56
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Paraguay is one of the teams to qualify from Group D for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D-PAR
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26D.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$56
Outcomes
4
Highest price
USA 79¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 62% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.