Above 255.0M · Will Peggy Gou have
Above 255.0M is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Will Peggy Gou have.
Price history
45¢ current
+43¢Contract brief
If Peggy Gou has Above 255.0M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 255.0M
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Above 130M 99¢
Range
45¢-99¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-255.0M
May 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$64
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Peggy Gou have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Peggy Gou has Above 255.0M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-255.0M
Event family
Will Peggy Gou have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 130M 99¢
Current share
—
Above 130M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-130.0M
Above 135M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-135.0M
Above 145M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-145.0M
Above 140M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-140.0M
Above 150M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-150.0M
Above 155M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-155.0M
Above 160M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-160.0M
Above 165M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-165.0M
Above 170M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-170.0M
Above 175M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-175.0M
Above 180M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-180.0M
Above 185M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-185.0M
Above 190M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-190.0M
Above 195M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-195.0M
Above 200M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-200.0M
Above 255.0M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-255.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.