What is the current probability for "Will Pittsburgh score over 5.5 runs?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 23¢ (23% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Pittsburgh score over 5.5 runs?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 39790.2% and 3550.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Pittsburgh score over 5.5 runs?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Will Pittsburgh score over 5.5 runs?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

23¢

$15 volume

$15 liquidity

1% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

Cincinnati over 3.5 runs scored 49¢

Ticker

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031335CINPIT-PIT6

Price history

23¢ current

+21¢

May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 26¢

Kalshi

3¢ spread

BidSize

23¢637

22¢1.0K

20¢400

19¢55

18¢5.2K

AskSize

26¢695

27¢1.1K

28¢1.7K

29¢250

31¢400

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Pittsburgh scores 6+ runs in the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031335CINPIT-PIT6

Event family

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031335CINPIT.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

Highest price

Cincinnati over 1.5 runs scored 79¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Pittsburgh over 5.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031335CINPIT-PIT6

23¢$15$20.6

Cincinnati over 3.5 runs scored

kalshi · KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26MAY031335CINPIT-CIN4