Will Queens Park Rangers win the EFL Championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will Queens Park Rangers win the EFL Championship?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 18, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate.

█████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
23¢
Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes May 18, 2026·26d remaining
KXEFLCHAMPIONSHIP-26-QPR

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The astronomical 3872% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine expected returns, and the 1¢ spread masks the difficulty of actually executing trades at these levels. With 32 days to expiry and QPR's actual Championship contention status unclear from the data, this appears to be a placeholder or abandoned market rather than an active prediction vehicle.

Resolution rules

If Queens Park Rangers is the 2025-26 EFL Championship Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4716.0%
IY (No) 420.8%
Adj IY 2358%
CRI 3
Overround 0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4716.0%
IY (No)420.8%
Adj IY2358%
CRI3
Overround0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 4:11:55 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 4:08:23 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXEFLCHAMPIONSHIP-26-QPR yes 100

Related concepts