SimpleFunctions

Reese win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese

Reese is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA.

Price history

47¢ current

+2¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Reese wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Bijan and Reese originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Reese

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Bijan 52¢

Range

39¢-52¢

Family volume

$132

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA-REES

May 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

47¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

46¢

Spread

Reported volume

$56

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$132

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 46¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
39¢153
38¢300
11¢45
3¢2.1K
AskSize
46¢176
48¢150
50¢300
53¢1
86¢61

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Reese wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Bijan and Reese originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA-REES

SF Signal
SF Index
1222.33
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$132

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Bijan 52¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2979.5%
1217.9%
Adj IY
1222%
2
LAS
0.18

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.