SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 2026

Will Rickie Fowler win the PGA Championship?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$613K volume
$562K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$4.8M

Best sibling

Scottie Scheffler 16¢

Ticker

KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RFOW

Market snapshot

Rickie Fowler in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Rickie Fowler win the PGA Championship?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $476K. In the KXPGATOUR-PGC26 family, this outcome ranks #8 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Outcome

Rickie Fowler

Family rank

#8 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2026

24h volume

$476K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-PGC26

Quote range

1¢-16¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 16¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RFOW. Family volume: $4.8M.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 6, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Kalshi
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
100¢20K
100¢3.4K
100¢39K
AskSize
2¢56K
2¢1.5K
100¢50K
100¢207K
100¢38K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOUR-PGC26-RFOW

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.