SimpleFunctions

Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.9 million funded customers in Q2 2026

above 27.9 million is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 2.

Price history

22¢ current

+4¢
15¢20¢25¢
May 20, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27900000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 27.9 million

Rank

#5 of 6

Leader

above 27.5 million 96¢

Range

7¢-96¢

Family volume

$43

Identifier

KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27900000.0

May 27, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#5 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 2

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Family volume

$43

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 22¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
20¢32
19¢235
18¢500
13¢100
3¢140
AskSize
22¢29
25¢100
26¢500
93¢165
94¢4.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27900000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Identifier

KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27900000.0

SF Signal
SF Index
785.52
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1571.0%

IY (No)

98.2%

Adj IY

786%

CRI

4

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1571.0%
98.2%
Adj IY
786%
4
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.