What is the current probability for "Will Roblox Corporation report above 34.5 billion hours engaged in Q1 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 18¢ (18% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 30, 2026. 30 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Roblox Corporation report above 34.5 billion hours engaged in Q1 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5974.4% and 250.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Will Roblox Corporation report above 34.5 billion hours engaged in Q1 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Roblox Corporation report above 34.5 billion hours engaged in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing May 30, 2026.

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18¢

Bid/Ask 17/18¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $253.12·OI $1,803.75·Closes May 30, 2026·30d remaining

KXRBLX-26APRHOURS-34500000000

7-day price257 snapshots · 15 regime

32¢16¢ current

Apr 232¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Roblox Corporation reports above 34500000000 hours engaged in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5974.4%

IY (No) 250.6%

Adj IY 5272%

CRI 5

RV 1923%

VR 1.31

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5974.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	250.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5272%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1923%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.31	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.12	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/30/2026, 3:54:21 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 4:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXRBLX-26APRHOURS-34500000000 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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