Rodrigo De Paul · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Rodrigo De Paul is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 52¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
Price history
91¢ current
+90¢Contract brief
If Rodrigo De Paul is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rodrigo De Paul
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Lionel Messi 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-RDEP
May 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
52¢
Reported volume
$39
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rodrigo De Paul is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-RDEP
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 76¢, +15¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Lionel Messi 95¢
Current share
0%
Lionel Messi
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LMES
Rodrigo De Paul
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-RDEP
Facundo Medina
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMED
Juan Musso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JMUS
Enzo Fernandez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-ENFE
Emiliano Buendia
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EBUE
Alejandro Garnacho
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AGAR
Giovani Lo Celso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GLOC
Alexis Mac Allister
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC
Jose Manuel Lopez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JLOP
Cristian Romero
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-CROM
Exequiel Palacios
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL
Franco Mastantuono
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS
Emiliano Martinez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EMAR
Gianluca Prestianni
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GPRE
Giuliano Simeone
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GSIM
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.