SimpleFunctions

Ryan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Ryan and 02Duecee

Ryan is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN.

Price history

54¢ current

+9¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Ryan wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Ryan and 02Duecee originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ryan

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Ryan 46¢

Range

45¢-46¢

Family volume

$93

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN-RYAN

May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

54¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

53¢

Spread

24h volume

$93

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$93

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 53¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
46¢160
44¢300
30¢53
29¢206
28¢275
AskSize
53¢12
54¢134
55¢150
56¢300
66¢42

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ryan wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Ryan and 02Duecee originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN-RYAN

SF Signal
SF Index
2103.58
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$93

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Ryan 46¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2103.6%

IY (No)

1526.5%

Adj IY

2104%

CRI

1

RV

6117%

VR

5.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2103.6%
1526.5%
Adj IY
2104%
1
RV
6117%
VR
5.91
IAR
1.1/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.