Saletta Holloway · KXTNPRIMARY-07D26
Saletta Holloway is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXTNPRIMARY-07D26.
Price history
4¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
If Saletta Holloway wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Saletta Holloway
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Vincent Dixie 57¢
Range
2¢-57¢
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-07D26-SHOL
May 26, 2026, 2:28 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXTNPRIMARY-07D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Saletta Holloway wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-07D26-SHOL
Event family
KXTNPRIMARY-07D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Vincent Dixie 57¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.