SimpleFunctions

Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 2.5 points

Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 2.5 points is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

+17¢
30¢40¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If San Antonio wins the 1st Half by more than 2.5 points in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 2.5 points

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$26K

Identifier

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS-SAS2

May 28, 2026, 7:18 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:18 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

50¢

Spread

24h volume

$21K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$26K

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 50¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
48¢13K
47¢52K
46¢51K
45¢7.3K
44¢1.0K
AskSize
50¢122K
51¢102K
52¢3.1K
53¢2.2K
54¢3.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If San Antonio wins the 1st Half by more than 2.5 points in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS-SAS2

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$26K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 2.5 points 50¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.