SimpleFunctions

San Antonio win the 1H by over 8.5 points

San Antonio wins the 1H by over 8.5 points is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 13 inside KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS.

Price history

26¢ current

+14¢
10¢20¢30¢
May 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If San Antonio wins the 1st Half by more than 8.5 points in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

San Antonio wins the 1H by over 8.5 points

Rank

#4 of 13

Leader

San Antonio wins the 1H by over 2.5 points 49¢

Range

2¢-49¢

Family volume

$15K

Identifier

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS-SAS8

May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$49

Family rank

#4 of 13

13 outcomes · KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$15K

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 29¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
25¢5.0K
24¢1.1K
23¢800
19¢375
17¢6.0K
AskSize
29¢100
30¢2.9K
33¢8
34¢800
36¢365

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If San Antonio wins the 1st Half by more than 8.5 points in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS-SAS8

SF Signal
SF Index
7343.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26MAY28OKCSAS.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$15K

Outcomes

13

Highest price

San Antonio wins the 1H by over 2.5 points 49¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7343.6%

IY (No)

816.0%

Adj IY

7344%

CRI

3

RV

949%

VR

0.85

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7343.6%
816.0%
Adj IY
7344%
3
RV
949%
VR
0.85
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
1.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.