Scotland · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C
Scotland is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C.
Price history
70¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Scotland is one of the teams to qualify from Group C for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Scotland
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Brazil 97¢
Range
8¢-97¢
Family volume
$335
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C-SCO
Jun 1, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$178
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$335
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Scotland is one of the teams to qualify from Group C for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C-SCO
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26C.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$335
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Brazil 97¢
Current share
53%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 70% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.