Will Scott Parker cease to be manager of Burnley before Aug 1, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Scott Parker cease to be manager of Burnley before Aug 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing August 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the 2¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the 2¢ spread. The astronomical 1406.5% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing—either the market is completely inactive or there's genuine conviction that Parker will remain through August 2026, though a 16¢ to 19¢ price movement over seven days indicates some recent trading activity. With 111 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, the narrow resolution window (April 16 to August 1, 2026) combined with zero liquidity makes this a speculative position with minimal market depth.
Resolution rules
If Scott Parker ceases to be the manager of Burnley starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-SPAR yes 100