SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will Scott Wiener place first in the 2026 CA-11 primary?

This contract is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

95¢
$7K volume
$2K liquidity

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Saikat Chakrabarti 7¢

Ticker

KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26-SWIE

Market snapshot

Scott Wiener in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Scott Wiener place first in the 2026 CA-11 primary?. The displayed quote is 95¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $7K. In the KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Scott Wiener

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

95¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$7K

Family context

2 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26

Quote range

7¢-83¢

Family leader

Scott Wiener 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26-SWIE. Family volume: .

Price history

95¢ current

+15¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

83 / 91¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
83¢5
82¢10
81¢43
80¢50
79¢207
AskSize
91¢432
92¢200
94¢200
98¢268
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Scott Wiener wins the the 2026 CA-11 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26-SWIE

Event family

KXCAPRIMARY-11FIRST26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Scott Wiener 83¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13.8%
328.0%
Adj IY
148%
5
LAS
0.10

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