SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 21, 2026105 days left

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q2 2026?

This contract is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

94¢
$9 volume
$9 liquidity
59% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$15

Best sibling

Above 58 million 60¢

Ticker

KXLUV-26JULSEATS-56000000

Market snapshot

Above 56 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q2 2026?. The displayed quote is 94¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $9. In the Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 56 million

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

94¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 21, 2026

Reported volume

$9

Family context

7 outcomes · Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above

Quote range

3¢-88¢

Family leader

Above 56 million 88¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXLUV-26JULSEATS-56000000. Family volume: $15.

Price history

94¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 94¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
88¢40
87¢500
70¢500
50¢500
33¢1.6K
AskSize
94¢501
98¢214
99¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 56000000 seats flown in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Identifier

KXLUV-26JULSEATS-56000000

Event family

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$15

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above 56 million 88¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

47.6%

IY (No)

2557.7%

Adj IY

1279%

CRI

7

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

47.6%
2557.7%
Adj IY
1279%
7
Overround
1.9%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index