Spain advances further than England · KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP
Spain advances further than England is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP.
Price history
56¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Spain advances to a further stage than England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Spain advances further than England
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
England advances further than Spain 45¢
Range
11¢-45¢
Family volume
$219
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP-ESP
Jun 18, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$42
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$219
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Spain advances to a further stage than England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP-ESP
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26ENGESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$219
Outcomes
3
Highest price
England advances further than Spain 45¢
Current share
19%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.