Spencer Pratt receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election
At least 10% is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will Spencer Pratt receive at least.
Price history
99¢ current
+97¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 10%
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
At least 10% 96¢
Range
2¢-96¢
Family volume
$91K
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-55
May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
96¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$898
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Spencer Pratt receive at least
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$91K
Orderbook snapshot
96 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-55
Event family
Will Spencer Pratt receive at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$91K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 10% 96¢
Current share
0%
At least 15%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-57
At least 10%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-55
At least 20%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-60
At least 25%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-62
At least 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-65
At least 35%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-67
At least 40%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-70
At least 50%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-75
At least 45%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-72
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.