Spencer Pratt receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election
At least 35% is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will Spencer Pratt receive at least.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 35%
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
At least 15% 98¢
Range
2¢-98¢
Family volume
$112K
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-67
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$31K
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Spencer Pratt receive at least
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$112K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-67
Event family
Will Spencer Pratt receive at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$112K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 15% 98¢
Current share
27%
At least 15%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-57
At least 10%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-55
At least 20%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-60
At least 25%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-62
At least 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-65
At least 35%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-67
At least 40%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-70
At least 45%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-72
At least 50%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-75
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.