SimpleFunctions

Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026

Above 10% is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above.

Price history

86¢ current

+35¢
50¢75¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 10 restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 10%

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

Above 8% 91¢

Range

5¢-91¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXSG-26AUGMARGIN-10

May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

86¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

86¢

Ask

87¢

Spread

24h volume

$4K

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

86 / 87¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
86¢353
85¢2.1K
84¢571
79¢1.0K
61¢3.9K
AskSize
87¢1.1K
88¢200
90¢29
91¢500
95¢40

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 10 restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Identifier

KXSG-26AUGMARGIN-10

SF Signal
SF Index
2066.31
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above 8% 91¢

Current share

37%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

64.3%

IY (No)

2066.3%

Adj IY

2066%

CRI

6

RV

1455%

VR

11.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

64.3%
2066.3%
Adj IY
2066%
6
RV
1455%
VR
11.20
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
2.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.