Switzerland advances further than Austria · KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT
Switzerland advances further than Austria is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT.
Price history
49¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Switzerland advances to a further stage than Austria in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Switzerland advances further than Austria
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Switzerland advances further than Austria 34¢
Range
19¢-34¢
Family volume
$31
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT-SUI
Jun 18, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$31
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Switzerland advances to a further stage than Austria in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT-SUI
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26SUIAUT.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$31
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Switzerland advances further than Austria 34¢
Current share
16%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.