SimpleFunctions

Sydney Sweeney · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR

Sydney Sweeney is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 11 inside KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR.

Price history

57¢ current

20¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 6, 2026Jun 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Sydney Sweeney is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Sydney Sweeney

Rank

#8 of 11

Leader

Katherine LaNasa 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$4

Identifier

KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-SYD

Jun 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#8 of 11

11 outcomes · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR

Closes

Jul 8, 2027

Family volume

$4

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 24¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢751
16¢100
15¢200
AskSize
24¢100
25¢200
96¢3.5K
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sydney Sweeney is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 8, 2027

Identifier

KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-SYD

SF Signal
SF Index
242.34
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

484.7%

IY (No)

17.6%

Adj IY

242%

CRI

5

RV

5470%

VR

36.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

484.7%
17.6%
Adj IY
242%
5
RV
5470%
VR
36.75
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.50

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.