Taylor Dearden · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR
Taylor Dearden is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR.
Price history
41¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Taylor Dearden is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Taylor Dearden
Rank
#4 of 11
Leader
Katherine LaNasa 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$306
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-TAY
Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$12
Family rank
#4 of 11
11 outcomes · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Family volume
$306
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Dearden is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-TAY
Event family
KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$306
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Katherine LaNasa 95¢
Current share
0%
Katherine LaNasa
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-KAT
Julianne Nicholson
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-JUL
Karolina Wydra
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-KAR
Taylor Dearden
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-TAY
Allison Janney
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-ALL
Isa Briones
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-ISA
Fiona Dourif
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-FIO
Sydney Sweeney
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-SYD
Emilia Jones
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-EMI
Christine Baranski
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-CHR
Nicole Beharie
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-DSACTR-NIC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.