SimpleFunctions

Tallison Teixeira · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI

Tallison Teixeira is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI.

Price history

19¢ current

+6¢
10¢20¢
May 24, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Tallison Teixeira wins the Pavlovich vs Teixeira professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tallison Teixeira

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Sergei Pavlovich 81¢

Range

18¢-81¢

Family volume

$19K

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI-TEI

May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

19¢

Spread

24h volume

$17K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$19K

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 19¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
18¢2.1K
17¢715
16¢1.5K
15¢3.0K
14¢493
AskSize
19¢10K
20¢1.7K
21¢496
22¢2.3K
23¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tallison Teixeira wins the Pavlovich vs Teixeira professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI-TEI

SF Signal
SF Index
4808.69
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30PAVTEI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Sergei Pavlovich 81¢

Current share

89%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10183.6%
490.7%
Adj IY
4809%
5
LAS
0.06

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.